OCR
XoAis1l5e Vecember 520 - page three — on the army. As the situation stands at present, the whole matter ended mea ina draw, “ut there is no doubt that the fight vould be renewed soone The question of who would win, is by no means decicede as it stands today, th army would heave the meaning to seize power, it would follow its leaders unquestivningly and there would be no reaction w hotth mentioning in khe courtrye he qu stion is only, whether the Sultan of Jogjakarta will dare to Strike. %ofar, he has not shown any intentions to do so and has gone out of tkxx his way to stay within the legality. By his temper he is certainely not a rovolutionist ana its seems to this observer extremely unlikely that he would finally decide to strike. Put if he does not, then in a relatively short time, the government or the Parliament will purge the Army and will gain full control of the amed #orces of the c untrye ‘“*his would lead to a rapid disintegration ana the disappearance of the Army as a genueine factor in the shaping of the country's destinies. After that, the governmental anarchy e would contin e for a short while. But there is nó doubt in the mind of this observer that, as soon as the Army has dísapveared, the communists and their Trade Union support would soom emerge as the most powerful factor in indonesian affairse ‘they would shortly gain the opproétnity to seize power fully. From whatever side one may observe the situation, it is clear that the fate of indonesia now Iles in the hands of the Sultan of iujgak Jogiakarta. NOTE: Confidential. “his report is based on informations received from the same person who gave us the news contain a in XA Noel4. He spent several days in Jakarta on his way back from the Philippines. “his should nevertheless not be mentioned, since it might lead the Indanesian secret police to his traces and might bring reprisals to the financial intersts he also represents in Indonesia.