Oldal 3 [3]
XoAis1l5e Vecember 520
- page three —
on the army. As the situation stands at present, the whole matter
ended mea ina draw, “ut there is no doubt that the fight vould
be renewed soone The question of who would win, is by no means
decicede as it stands today, th army would heave the meaning to
seize power, it would follow its leaders unquestivningly and there
would be no reaction w hotth mentioning in khe courtrye he qu stion
is only, whether the Sultan of Jogjakarta will dare to Strike. %ofar,
he has not shown any intentions to do so and has gone out of tkxx his
way to stay within the legality. By his temper he is certainely not
a rovolutionist ana its seems to this observer extremely unlikely
that he would finally decide to strike. Put if he does not, then
in a relatively short time, the government or the Parliament will
purge the Army and will gain full control of the amed #orces of the
c untrye ‘“*his would lead to a rapid disintegration ana the
disappearance of the Army as a genueine factor in the shaping of
the country's destinies. After that, the governmental anarchy e
would contin e for a short while. But there is nó doubt in the mind
of this observer that, as soon as the Army has dísapveared, the
communists and their Trade Union support would soom emerge as the
most powerful factor in indonesian affairse ‘they would shortly gain
the opproétnity to seize power fully. From whatever side one may
observe the situation, it is clear that the fate of indonesia now Iles
in the hands of the Sultan of iujgak Jogiakarta.
NOTE: Confidential. “his report is based on informations
received from the same person who gave us the news contain a in XA
Noel4. He spent several days in Jakarta on his way back from the
Philippines. “his should nevertheless not be mentioned, since it
might lead the Indanesian secret police to his traces and might bring
reprisals to the financial intersts he also represents in Indonesia.