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Report on Latin America: Argentina

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X.A. (HO)
Izdavač
Habsburg Ottó Alapítvány
Datum
1952-11
Ukupno stranica
5
ho6_000097/0002
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XeAeSe November 52, - page three 3e Foreign policy: With its two pewer instruments - Army and labor ‘nions a working against the country's economic interests, Peron, as dictators before him, can only hope to maintain his regime by playing the nationalistie cards, As long as his propaganda | ean use foreign victories gained by Peron for his country, he will be able to hold Argentina, These victories are not bloody ones, as those of Hitler and Mussolings they are the triumph of "Peronistas", of anti-US, nationalistic and "fascist" candidates in the other Latin American countries, With the economie difficulties and the dissatisfaction in Argentina itself¥, with the pressure coming from Washington, these foreign poliey victories are Peron's only real assets A set-back in that area would mean the beginning of his ends There is much speculation what would happen in Argentina, should Peron disappear, As under all very personal and authoritarian régimes, no other personality than the leader could develop. Peron has no Sedéeswer among thé men who surround him, Those who best know the situation agree that there would be at first a period of confusion where an Army officer is most likely to take over and to introduce the essential steps leading towards normaley and a certain economic freedom, This intermediate period might last about two years - the time needed to restore economy, to devaluate then re-evaluate the money, By that time a new leadership will have shown and taken over, mm em Peronism and communism, As stated above, communists in Latin America are neither pro nor contra Peron as such. Their policy is purely opportunistic; they look for alliances, whereever it best suits their aim, vize the sabotaging of the "common defense effort" as put forth by the United States, dice There are more than one instance that prove this communisti stands 1, inside Argentina, - Confidential reports just received from a high-placed Argentine wexumMkkkigesm observer state a most revealing fact. it is known that two years ago, a split oweured in Argentine communism. A dissident fraction came out with full wupport for President Peron, while the main movement remained faithful to the previous line of opposing the regime. Moscow however kept an attitude of neutral expectation: it did not repudiate any of the two fractions and it avoided attacking Peron or his regime, A few weeks ago however, the Kremlin has decided on the way to chose (as it has done for its parties in other Western countries). The leadership of the orthodox communistie group in Argentine has started following the example given by the dissidents two years agoe It is reported that communist Party leader Codovilla has recently taken up secret contact with a personality in Peron's closest surroundings. He has offered his group's full support for the official Labor Unions and the use of communistie means of propaganda in favor of Peronmyf and not - as up to now a in opposition to the regime, Communists in Argentina is a minority that has little ehance of ever reaching power. it is however a very active group, whose offer of a secret alliance might prove very at.

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