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XeA Oct - page two = Demoeratse . fo put the whole situation into the lenguage of practical polities, the problem of Eisenhower could be summarized as follows ¢% As a basis of action he must first hold those 189 votes which went . for Deweye This is likely for all but 49, those being the votes of New York, where H.nry Wallace's ticket threw the State ti dewey. Now Wallace is no more, and the Brogressive Candidate, Hallinah, will make a very poor shows Nevertheless there is hope for Eisenhower in New Yorky especially since the Cashmore = Liberal rift in the Sena= torial contest might split the oppositions But even presuming that Eisenhower would gain all those votes, he would stili be 77 votes short of the needed 266. As things stand today, four more states seem to be leaning towards him, nemely lowa, Wisconsin, Ohio and Minne= sota ( if the anti-Bisenhower trend in the state, which we noted, would not become to strong )» This would give him 247 votes, or 19 less than the needed onese These 19 votes could come from Texas, with 24 votes, if the Shivers move succeedse It could come from Cali-= fornia, though we doubt this, since quite obviously Republican Go= vernor Warren is playing into the Democratic hands, though officieally loyal to his partye California has 32 votese It could finally come from the 27 votes of Illinois, though here too this observer would be quite doubtful, this being Stevenson's home=statee And finaliy = this seems, if at all, the most likely way — it could come from a few smaller States, such as certain Mountain and Western Sta= tes, which seem to be shifting towards Eisenhowere Still, every way one looks at it, it seems as if in the end most of the decision might hinge on New York State = which in itself, as pointed out = is very much in doubte From the Stevenson point of view, the situation seems to look as follows : He needs first the support of the Solid South with its 128 votes, He must add to this the 39 votes of the border states other then Marylende These border States seem to be most probablt in the bag, in fact more so then $ome of the Solid Southe The 32 votes of Massachusetts and Rhode Island ure in the bag, so it seemse This puts the Governor at 199 votes, To this should be added as probable the 27 votes of Ililinoise So the Governor would be ut 226, or 40 votes short of the majoritye These votes could come from New York alone, or from a combination of States, especially if California goes the Stevenson way, as it might easily doe Nevertheless the week point of the operations is, that ig is us yet hot absolutely certain whether the Solhd South relaind really solide It is likely but by no means certaine If Texas " takes a walk ! then the fight of Stevenson will really be an uphill fight, with the chences leaning heavily the Eksenhower way? 5 7.
