OCR
A 4 Me 9 - page three = the oil of Iran will neither be needed nor used for Soviet forces in case of a war. Mid-EBasterm refineries will be destroyed and it would be uneconomical to transport through the few available fas cilities erude oil to the Russian refineries. Hence the sole inte= rest of the USSR is to prevent the USA forces of getting the Iranian crude and to ship it with its powerful tanker fleet to far away refinewiese The only aim therefore is : in case of a war, Iran must fall into Soviet hands, regardless wether the oil resources remain intact or not : only in order to deprive the Americans and for no other reasons. This very important decision confims anew what we reported already several times, viz. that the USSR is already todey self-sufficient in oil and that all speculations on oil shor= tages in Russia are unrealistic. put while thus the Asiatic situation weighed heavily on the minds of the conferees, Europe was not forgotten, The progress than is generally believed in Western capitais. And especially the thought o£ including the West German forces into the i Buropean Army is considered in Russia as the greatest direct threat to the Soviet Union. Hence it was decided, that if the integration of Europe progresses and especially when the German re-armament starts, the Buropean situation will demand action on the Soviet side, Now, and this is of paramount importance, if and when suxh am action is decided in Europe, it would nevertheless not be undertaken under any conditions without first having involved Red China. In that case the slow approach as outlined - namely the waiting for India's Communism - would be by-passed and actions started in the minor fronts, while at the same time forcing the Indian issue. Moscow expects - but here our observer was unable to learn by what means, but he is quite positive that Moscow has a very clearcut plan in:mind it consideres as fool-proff - to be able to involve Red China in war with the USA within four month after such a decision was taken, This involvement waeld be followed within a week by action in Europe, Concerning operations in Europe, we already reported, that the invasion of the continent was completely rehearsed last fall in Russia under the Command of Marshal Zhukov, assisted by Konev, Sokolovsky, Chuikov and Tolbukhin. This strategy of the invasion of Europe is timed at exactly three weeks : that is to say that within that time Burope will be occupied, in the Soviet plans to the Pyrenees, with the exception of Switzerland and pockets of resistance in the Alps and Southern Germany. ,Brest should be accupied on the fifteenth day of operations. Italy should be struck down by the motorized forces of the Karpatho-Ukraine striking at the Isonzo, 4S. |